Chaos Rising: chase cards, pull rates and most valuable cards
The chase cards of Mega Evolution—Chaos Rising, what each rarity tier means, sold prices as of October 17, 2026, and what the published opening studies found.
Chaos Rising is a Pokémon Trading Card Game expansion in the Mega Evolution Series, released on May 22, 2026. Its main set has 86 cards, and 36 more are numbered above it (087/086 to 122/086), for 122 cards in all. This page shows the cards collectors chase, ranks them by sold prices as of October 17, 2026, and compares the published pull-rate studies. It is a reference, not buying advice.
Set facts
| Fact | Value |
|---|---|
| Full name | Mega Evolution—Chaos Rising |
| Series | Mega Evolution |
| Release date | May 22, 2026 |
| Printed set size | 86 (cards read “xxx/086”) |
| Total cards | 122 |
| Set code | API id me4; PTCGO code CRI |
The chase cards
The grid shows the Mega Hyper Rare, all six Special Illustration Rares, the full art Mega Greninja ex and the four Illustration Rares with the highest ungraded prices, with ungraded and PSA 10 prices as of October 17, 2026. Mega Greninja ex appears three times: as the Ultra Rare full art (100), the Special Illustration Rare (116) and the Mega Hyper Rare (122).
Mega Greninja exUngraded $129.75 · PSA 10 $767.44
Mega Greninja exUngraded $122.50 · PSA 10 $353.00
Cinccino exUngraded $39.41 · PSA 10 $126.00
Mega Dragalge exUngraded $28.39 · PSA 10 $111.78
Mega Floette exUngraded $22.22 · PSA 10 $98.80
AZ's TranquilityUngraded $20.58 · PSA 10 $64.75
Roxie's PerformanceUngraded $15.50 · PSA 10 $88.00
Mega Greninja exUngraded $9.87 · PSA 10 $91.00
XerneasUngraded $5.94 · PSA 10 $82.50
FroakieUngraded $5.63 · PSA 10 $77.67
FrogadierUngraded $5.42 · PSA 10 $66.62
AmpharosUngraded $5.40 · PSA 10 $82.53
The rarity tiers above the main set
Every card has a rarity. The 36 cards above the main set fall into four tiers; a fifth, Double Rare, sits inside the main set.
| Rarity | Card numbers | Cards | What it is |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double Rare | within 001–086 | 10 | Regular-version Pokémon ex and Mega Evolution Pokémon ex, such as Mega Floette ex and Cinccino ex. |
| Illustration Rare | 087–097 | 11 | Full-card alternate art versions of normal (non-ex) Pokémon, such as Froakie and Xerneas. |
| Ultra Rare | 098–115 | 18 | Eight full art Pokémon ex or Mega Evolution Pokémon ex, six full art Item or Stadium cards and four full art Supporters. |
| Special Illustration Rare | 116–121 | 6 | Four full-card alternate art Pokémon ex or Mega Evolution Pokémon ex and two alternate-art Supporters (AZ's Tranquility, Roxie's Performance). |
| Mega Hyper Rare | 122 | 1 | Mega Greninja ex, the set's only card above Special Illustration Rare. |
Most valuable cards
Ranked by ungraded price, the value of a raw copy as pulled from a pack, with the PSA 10 value and how often PSA 10 copies sell. Prices come from recent sold listings; where a grade has no sales, the figure is an estimate. All values as of October 17, 2026.
| # | Card | Rarity | Ungraded | PSA 10 | PSA 10 sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mega Greninja ex #122 | Mega Hyper Rare | $129.75 | $767.44 | 1 sale per day |
| 2 | Mega Greninja ex #116 | Special Illustration Rare | $122.50 | $353.00 | 6 sales per day |
| 3 | Cinccino ex #119 | Special Illustration Rare | $39.41 | $126.00 | 3 sales per day |
| 4 | Mega Dragalge ex #118 | Special Illustration Rare | $28.39 | $111.78 | 1 sale per day |
| 5 | Mega Floette ex #117 | Special Illustration Rare | $22.22 | $98.80 | 1 sale per day |
| 6 | AZ's Tranquility #120 | Special Illustration Rare | $20.58 | $64.75 | 2 sales per week |
| 7 | Roxie's Performance #121 | Special Illustration Rare | $15.50 | $88.00 | 1 sale per week |
| 8 | Mega Greninja ex #100 | Ultra Rare | $9.87 | $91.00 | 1 sale per day |
| 9 | Xerneas #091 | Illustration Rare | $5.94 | $82.50 | 1 sale per day |
| 10 | Froakie #088 | Illustration Rare | $5.63 | $77.67 | 3 sales per day |
| 11 | Frogadier #089 | Illustration Rare | $5.42 | $66.62 | 2 sales per day |
| 12 | Ampharos #090 | Illustration Rare | $5.40 | $82.53 | 2 sales per day |
| 13 | Cobalion ex #103 | Ultra Rare | $2.69 | $122.11 | 1 sale per month |
- Two cards stand apart. Of the single cards in the set, only the two Mega Greninja ex secret rares were above $100 ungraded; the next card, Cinccino ex, was at $39.41.
- The PSA 10 order is different. By PSA 10 value the top three are the same, but Cobalion ex #103 (an Ultra Rare at $2.69 ungraded) comes fourth at $122.11, on about one sale a month with the newest listed in September 2026, so that figure rests on few sales. The four Illustration Rares shown sold for about $5–6 raw and $66–83 in a PSA 10; the other seven were at $4.00 or less ungraded.
- What is left out. Sealed products and stamped or store-exclusive versions such as Ho-Oh [GameStop] #10 are not ranked here.
- Graded vs raw. Whether a PSA 10 price is worth chasing depends on the odds of getting one and on the fees; Is it worth grading? works through the method and PSA 9 vs PSA 10 covers what separates the two grades.
Pull rates
No official pull rates were found for Chaos Rising. The figures below are estimates from published pack openings: they are per pack, not guarantees, and the sample sizes differ by more than a hundredfold.
| Source (date) | Sample | Illustration Rare | Ultra Rare | Special Illustration Rare | Mega Hyper Rare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCGplayer (June 2026) | more than 8,500 packs | 10.66% ± 0.65% (1 in 9) | 8.29% ± 0.58% (1 in 12) | 1.21% ± 0.23% (1 in 83) | 0.10% ± 0.07% (1 in 956) |
| TCGTalk (May 2026, pre-release) | 168 packs: 3 booster boxes, 3 booster bundles, 42 loose packs | 18 pulls, 10.7% | 13 pulls, 7.8% (6 ex full art, 5 other full art, 2 named Ultra Rare Trainers) | 1 pull, 0.6% | 0 pulls |
| ComicBook.com (May 2026, pre-release) | 55 packs | 6 pulls (about 1 in 9) | 8 pulls (just below 1 in 7) | 0 pulls | 0 pulls |
TCGplayer also gives per-card odds, assuming every card of a rarity is equally common: about 1 in 103 packs for a specific Illustration Rare, 1 in 217 for a specific Ultra Rare and 1 in 496 for a specific Special Illustration Rare such as Mega Greninja ex #116. For the single Mega Hyper Rare it puts the average at about 1,000 packs. It adds that the Mega Hyper Rare looked easier to find than in Perfect Order and Phantasmal Flames, but that the difference is not statistically significant. Its Double Rare rate was 20.30% ± 0.85%, about 1 in 5 packs.
- Double Rare: 20.30% ± 0.85% of packs, about 1 in 5 packs.
- Illustration Rare: 10.66% ± 0.65% of packs, about 1 in 9 packs.
- Ultra Rare: 8.29% ± 0.58% of packs, about 1 in 12 packs.
- Special Illustration Rare: 1.21% ± 0.23% of packs, about 1 in 83 packs.
- Mega Hyper Rare: 0.10% ± 0.07% of packs, about 1 in 956 packs.
Where the estimates disagree
- Special Illustration Rares. TCGplayer's 1 in 83 packs is the only figure from a large sample. TCGTalk found 2 in 268 packs across two openings and ComicBook.com none in 55; with so few hits, the small openings cannot pin the rate down.
- Ultra Rares. TCGplayer has 1 in 12 packs, ComicBook.com's 55 packs gave just below 1 in 7, and TCGTalk's categories add up to 7.8% of packs.
- Illustration Rares agree. All three land at about 1 in 9 packs.
Checklist before you rely on a number here
- ☐ The price has a date: everything above is as of October 17, 2026, and prices move daily.
- ☐ You are comparing like with like: ungraded with ungraded, PSA 10 with PSA 10, and the right card number (three different Mega Greninja ex cards appear above).
- ☐ The PSA 10 price rests on regular sales (check the volume column).
- ☐ Pull rates are averages over many packs; a single box can land well above or below them.
- ☐ Before grading, check the card against the modern pre-grading checklist.
Sources
- Pokémon TCG API — Chaos Rising (me4) set and card records
- Pokémon.com — “The Pokémon TCG: Mega Evolution—Chaos Rising Expansion is Available Now”
- PriceCharting — Pokémon Chaos Rising price guide (set list and card pages)
- TCGplayer — “Pokémon TCG: Chaos Rising Pull Rates” (Peter Day, June 4, 2026)
- TCGTalk — Chaos Rising pull rates guide (May 2026)
- ComicBook.com — Chaos Rising pull rates estimates (Amanda Kay Oaks, May 19, 2026)
Sources checked October 2026.